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Thank Goodness I Didn’t Buy Gold At $400 An Ounce….

We hope that headline grabbed you. The reason we used it was to bring some perspective to the debate as to whether or not homeownership is a wise investment in today™s troubled market. A family should never look at the purchase of a home simply as a financial investment. It is so much more than that. But, even if we look at it as only an investment, we must look at it in the long term. Let™s use gold as an example.Gold had dropped from over $400 an ounce to $250 an ounce (a 40% decline) from February 1996 to August 1999. People were so glad they hadn™t bought at $400 an ounce.Lord William Rees-Mogg, the current Chairman of The Zurich Club, in 1997 said:œNo investment has been so thoroughly exploded as gold; most people think that there will no more be another gold boom than there will be another boom in tulip futures in The Netherlands. Everyone knows what happened next. The proclamation of gold™s death was rather premature. Gold rose from $250 an ounce to over $1,500 an ounce in the next twelve years.If we look at real estate in the long term, we can see that it has been a great vehicle for building family wealth. The Federal Reserve™s Survey of Consumer Finances, conducted once every three years, provides a snapshot of family income and net worth. There survey has shown every time that homeowners™ net worth far exceeds that of renters. Here is the breakdown of the last several surveys: § 1998 “ Homeowner net worth exceed renters by 31% § 2001 “ Homeowner net worth exceed renters by 36% § 2004 “ Homeowner net worth exceed renters by 41% § 2007 “ Homeowner net worth exceed renters by 46%The 2010 survey is not out yet but the National Association of Realtors™ has estimated that number to be approximately 41% in 2010. You may be thinking this is no longer the case based on the current fall in home values which have dropped back to 2000 “ 2002 prices.Harvard University just completed a study that showed:œEven if homeowner wealth fell back to 1995 levels, it would still be 27.5 times the median for renters.

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